The game in one line: the multiplier climbs from 1.00× and can crash any moment; cash out before crash to lock your payout.
- Core thing to measure: survival probability S(t) = P(round reaches multiplier t). That single curve drives everything.
- Break‑even test (fast): you need S(t) ≥ 1/t to avoid negative expected value.
- EV per $1 (quick check): EV ≈ t·S(t) − 1. Positive EV → potentially playable, but check variance.
- Kelly hint (sizing guide): rough optimal fraction f* ≈ (t·S(t) − 1)/(t − 1). If f* ≤ 0 → skip. Use a fraction of f* (½–¼) to limit swings.
- Sample‑size rule: t

Aviator Game — Fast Facts and Mini‑Checks

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